Rejoice; Rove Thinks We're Winning

According to Donkey Rising, http://tinyurl.com/44h9g, Rove thinks Bush has to have a 4-point lead going into the last week-end to win.  That conclusion is based on the premise the undecided will break against the incumbent.

This has been my intuition, althoug I've based it on other grounds.  I think that this election is a lot like Bush v. Gore, with Bush's strong points being negative attacks on his opponent's character as someone untrustworthy.  Gore surely suffered from that, but, it seems to me, in the last days before the election, the undecided think more about real issues, and less about who invented the internet or who has "flip-flopped" or probably what anyone did in 1970.

In short, my analysis is that such flimsy character-based attacks win early or don't win at all, and that the target of them is apt to rebound at the end.  

Whichever analysis you choose, the polls putting Kerry within two points of Bush are wins for us.  

It is, of course, close enough that turnout could change everything, so GOTV.